Friday, Jun 13, 2003
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By V.S. Sambandan
"Yesterday's statement by the Tigers makes it clear that they do not care much for international pressure. For now, the LTTE could feel that the international community must be out of the scene'' a political analyst said. The switchover to emphasise the "internal political'' nature of the conflict also did not come as a surprise. "This is a normal cycle'',the analyst said, pointing out that even during earlier periods, the main players in the conflict — the governments, the oppositions and the LTTE — had shifting positions on whether the conflict was "internal'' or required``external'' involvement. Attempts since the 1980s to find peace have alternated between calls for external participation to shrill reactions to safeguard the "internal'' nature of the solution. Since it unilaterally snapped talks on April 21, the LTTE has resisted the growing internationalisation of the peace process. Pointing out that the Tigers had, in the past, resisted solutions that "did not meet the requirements of the Tamil people'', the LTTE's political wing leader, S.P.Tamilchelvan told The Hindu in rebel-held Kilinochchi recently that "the latest international efforts will be ineffective if there is no just and legal political solution to the problems faced by the Tamils''. On the Government's efforts to build an international safety net, he had said an internal political solution was essential for the international community to play an effective role. For those involved in earlier negotiations, the impasse has evoked "a sense of déjà vu''. Expressing uncertainty over what the next phase would be, political sources said much would depend on how long the LTTE decided to hold on. The recent rebuff to the international community, political analysts felt, again proved their point that "strong statements will not make the LTTE leader, V. Prabakaran, yield'', adding "even in the case of real threat, as during the Indian involvement, the Tigers have not yielded'' "By taking on the international community directly, the LTTE is also making it clear that it would be more comfortable dealing with Colombo alone'', the analyst said. Explaining the present stage as a possible attempt to "frustrate the international community out of the process'', he felt the latest move could also be based on apprehensions by the Tigers that "economic assistance could precede military assistance''. The present stalemate is that Mr. Wickremesinghe cannot meet the LTTE demands without stepping outside the constitution. "Normally they ask for more than what a legally-constituted government can offer'', a political leader said. Both the Government and the Tigers assert that there will be no return to war.
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